⚠️ AURORA ALERT ⚠️
For those that aren't aware, there was a X7.1 solar flare on Oct 1. The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center is predicting the CME from that event will arrive sometime Oct 4 & 5 as a G2/3 storm!
Forecasted Timing:
North America: Early night on Oct 3 and Oct 4
Europe: Most of Oct 4 and Oct 5
Asia/Pacific: Early morning Oct 3 and most of Oct 4?
UPDATE: The sun just kicked out a HUGE X9(!!!!!!) flare!!! Could be an exciting weekend for aurorae!!!
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Gaysis mag das.
teilten dies erneut
Doggie
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Gaysis mag das.
Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Doggie • • •Prof. Sam Lawler
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids
spaceweather.comGaysis mag das.
Gaysis
Als Antwort auf Prof. Sam Lawler • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Gaysis • • •@gaysis @sundogplanets @lunareclipse
You are probably looking at the map for the current activity
Gaysis
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • •So yours was more like a forecast?
I would just love to know if I have any chance to see them in Middle Europe. (we had some this summer that I didn't know about and slept right through them and I almost cried when the others told me about it)
Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Gaysis • • •@gaysis @sundogplanets @lunareclipse
Like I shared in the original post, the geomagnetic activity (measured with the Kp index) is expected to pick up about 8 hours from now. A Kp value of 6 or above is considered a significant event and could be visible in middle Europe.
See time table (times in UTC):
Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •@gaysis @sundogplanets @lunareclipse
Here's an easier to see graphic: spaceweatherlive.com/en/aurora…
That website is also handy to check if you want to know the current activity level
spaceweatherlive.com/en/aurora…
Aurora forecast
SpaceWeatherLive.comGaysis
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief mag das.
Matt
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Matt • • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •To temper expectations, I'll remind everyone that the space weather guys don't have the best record of accuracy, so take it with a grain of salt. It might be a dud, or it might be even more active than they expect. I've seen both this summer.
But we've got multiple factors that give me May aurora storm vibes:
- Happening on a weekend
- Multiple closely spaced X-class flares
- New moon (extra dark)
If you've been looking for a chance to see the aurora, this weekend might be it!
#aurora
Ásthar con té 🍵⛤ (Elle/They) hat dies geteilt.
Prof. Sam Lawler
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •To be fair, I've heard space weather forecasting described as like weather forecasting but with only 3 or 4 thermometers scattered around a continent to make predictions from. It's hard!
(But I'm really hoping for a good show over the next few days! Thanks for posting about it, hopefully lots of people will get outside and look up!)
Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Prof. Sam Lawler • • •Prof. Sam Lawler
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •For the curious, here's the WSA-Enlil model of the two CMEs that happened recently.
Taken from here (with some extra effort on my part because their animation is just a bunch of jpegs lol): swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enl…
#aurora #solar #astronomy
WSA-ENLIL Solar Wind Prediction | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center
www.swpc.noaa.govMallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •I keep thinking about this because it's a good demonstration of why I should probably stay in security research.
Oh, I can't download this animation?
*Right click > Inspect*
*Looks at HTML, reverse engineers it to find the JSON file that tells the animation javascript what images to load*
*Plug the image dir URL from the JSON file into Firefox, downloads the entire directory of jpegs*
*Drops image sequence into Blender, renders video*
Like, no normal person would know how to do that lol
Sasha
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Sasha • • •Sasha
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Indeed, but I only have the lower ranks of security wizardry
But I once got spam mail offering nazi rock music, so I pressed charges at the police. Nothing happened for months.
Then I got a phone call from the state security department of the local police to testify. Should I bring a CD with the email? Noooo! Print it out! Okay
I arrived there and a state security specialist took me to his office. It took 5 minutes to boot Windows 95 (no joke) on his old desktop PC and when he started to type with two fingers I said: "You won't be able to do anything. The mail was sent from Italy. This stuff isn't indictable in Italy."
"How do you know it was sent from Italy?!?"
Well, I'm an adept of the old sorcery of reading the ancient runes of *hand gesture* email headers!
I tried to explain that it came from an account with Tiscali Italy, was sent to Tiscali Germany and so on. I scared the shit out of him
Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Sasha • • •Lona Theartlav
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •Mallory's Musings & Mischief
Als Antwort auf Lona Theartlav • • •Iwan Pirous
Als Antwort auf Mallory's Musings & Mischief • • •